Episode 11 — Complexity Thinking: Classifying Scenarios with CAS, Stacey, and Cynefin
This episode introduces learners to the importance of complexity thinking in agile environments, where uncertainty, emergence, and unpredictability often challenge linear planning. It begins by framing the concept of complex adaptive systems (CAS), which describe how interactions among agents create outcomes greater than the sum of parts. The Stacey Matrix is then explained as a tool for classifying scenarios based on the level of certainty around requirements and technology. These models help practitioners decide when agile approaches are appropriate and when traditional methods may suffice.
The discussion then explores the Cynefin framework, which offers a more dynamic and nuanced classification of contexts. By distinguishing between clear, complicated, complex, chaotic, and aporetic domains, Cynefin helps teams tailor decision-making strategies to their environment. Candidates learn how PMI often frames exam questions using scenarios that implicitly map to these models, requiring recognition of complexity signals. This grounding ensures learners can apply classification frameworks to interpret uncertainty and choose the right practices. Produced by BareMetalCyber.com.
